Semi‐Structural Forecasting of UK Inflation Based on the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve

We develop a semi‐structural model for forecasting inflation in the UK in which the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) is augmented with a time series model for marginal cost. By combining structural and time series elements we hope to reap the benefits of both approaches, namely the relatively better forecasting performance of time series models in the short run and a theory‐consistent economic interpretation of the forecast coming from the structural model. In our model we consider the hybrid version of the NKPC and use an open‐economy measure of marginal cost. The results suggest that our semi‐structural model performs better than a random‐walk forecast and most of the competing models (conventional time series models and strictly structural models) only in the short run (one quarter ahead) but it is outperformed by some of the competing models at medium and long forecast horizons (four and eight quarters ahead). In addition, the open‐economy specification of our semi‐structural model delivers more accurate forecasts than its closed‐economy alternative at all horizons. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Permutation Analysis of Track and Column Braiding

Introduction Trackandcolumnbraidingisanavailable3D braidingmethod[1～3],whichperformsbraidingprocessbymovingbraidingcarriersalongroworcolumndirection alternatively.LiandDing[4]examinethebraidingmethod andconcentratetheirstudyonthemovementofbraiding carriersonthebraidingplatform,onwhichthebraiding tracksarelocated.Accordingtothebraidingprinciple,a studyofbraidingprocessisactuallyastudyofthemovingpatternofyarnendsonthebraidingplatform.Intheiranotherpaper[6],thepositionsofbraidingcarriersare r…     

刮板输送机运行阻力分析研究

本文分析了刮板输送机的运行阻力，提出了考虑刮板输送机结构性弯曲所引起的附加阻力的必要性，列出了考虑结构性弯曲时总运行阻力的计算公式     

铁路曲线状态下横向力的研究

阐述了横向力计算的必要性,介绍了铁路曲线状态下横向力的计算方法,通过计算得出了横向力与车重、超高、速度、曲线半径的关系, 并提出了减小横向力的主要措施.     

紫外分光光度法测定地下水中NO-3—N的含量

饮用水中NO-3-N的含量对人体有重要影响,因此测定地下水中NO-3-N的含量具有重要意义.本文用UA-1600紫外可见分光光度计,通过标准曲线法,在204nm波长处测定地下水中硝酸盐氮的含量.     

大孔径毛细管气相色谱法快速测定食品中毒鼠强

以邻苯二甲酸二丁酯为内标，采用FID检测器，建立了一种测定食品中的毒鼠强的大孔径毛细管气相色谱新方法。测定结果表明毒鼠强的线性范围为0.02g/L-0.12g/L，其最低检测浓度为0.02g/L，相对标准偏差为2.6%，平均回收率为84.6%，该法简便、准确、重现性好。     

关于振动模态参数识别的注记

回顾了关于整体拟合的分母多项式系数的争议,论证了Richardson文献中所提供的参数精度不高的原因并非源于Richardson的错误.指出一个经典考核算例的仿真传递函数生成公式不同于复模态理论提供的公式,讨论了两者之间的关系.表1,参9.     

对一道习题结论的思考与拓展

通过对一道习题的解答,借助图象,给结论一个直观易记的几何解释,并对这一结论进行了拓展。     

The crystal-like anatomical uniformity of the striate cortex

The visual field is topographically mapped onto the primary visual cortex (V1), forming a retinotopic map which is far more detailed for the foveal regions than for the periphery. We found that receptive field (RF) size in monkey V1 increases with eccentricity, and that a 1—2 m² V1 region contains roughly a complete set of machinery necessary to analyze a visual-field area whose size is about that of the RFs of the cells. This allows V1 to be anatomically uniform, and is in sharp contrast with the retina.